Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 4.425810 4.959918 5.541529 6.223280 7.002250 7.866539 8.900865
2025-02-02 3.751287 4.485298 5.345717 6.434360 7.782877 9.408547 11.531889
2025-02-09 3.285535 4.122571 5.159581 6.550504 8.385007 10.746460 14.056214
2025-02-16 2.940500 3.835279 4.994497 6.625417 8.891362 11.973673 16.562356
2025-02-23 2.674622 3.604687 4.856332 6.691187 9.358573 13.167678 19.152297
2025-03-02 2.382058 3.298821 4.572291 6.504823 9.424366 13.771169 20.928004
2025-03-09 2.171990 3.083022 4.385624 6.426194 9.620845 14.566575 23.078443
2025-03-16 1.990429 2.888675 4.206926 6.332569 9.770963 15.289663 25.189157
2025-03-23 1.918983 2.849235 4.251697 6.582111 10.483035 16.987482 29.182616
2025-03-30 1.795792 2.718652 4.142361 6.570089 10.756402 17.973439 32.043587
2025-04-06 1.676696 2.583839 4.013145 6.509286 10.933907 18.803494 34.722174
2025-04-13 1.510314 2.360491 3.722729 6.147619 10.542398 18.558960 35.270757
2025-04-20 1.431991 2.277355 3.660319 6.181281 10.878777 19.724532 38.883593
2025-04-27 1.390822 2.252641 3.693707 6.387511 11.557839 21.632480 44.377106
2025-05-04 1.337279 2.202386 3.678275 6.501967 12.072619 23.280082 49.593395
2025-05-11 1.281890 2.144402 3.643830 6.576087 12.513825 24.830733 54.863340
2025-05-18 1.229767 2.088057 3.607231 6.641263 12.941919 26.406235 60.478178
2025-05-25 1.147062 1.971024 3.450690 6.456471 12.827548 26.777316 63.173908
2025-06-01 1.085730 1.888711 3.352384 6.378506 12.930856 27.647311 67.303251
2025-06-08 1.027380 1.808069 3.251352 6.285671 12.990817 28.422953 71.325912
2025-06-15 1.014548 1.811694 3.311827 6.533103 13.837850 31.183691 81.388393
2025-06-22 0.972207 1.756276 3.252817 6.521182 14.088322 32.517167 87.637827
2025-06-29 0.927488 1.693466 3.174722 6.460894 14.218142 33.563113 93.248466